Momwe Mungamasulire CPI Yokulira pamwamba pa 9%
07/23/2022
Zofunika Kwambiri
Pa Julayi 13, dipatimenti ya Labor inanena za Consumer Price Index ya June.
CPI ikukwera mpaka 9.1% ikuwonetsa kukwera kwakukulu.Monga tonse tikudziwa, Federal Reserve yakweza chiwongola dzanja katatu pamndandanda posachedwa.Ndi ndondomeko yokhwimitsa mwamphamvu chonchi, nchifukwa ninji kukwera kwa mitengo kwatsika mobwerezabwereza?Kodi ndondomeko ya ndalama ya Federal Reserve inalibe mphamvu yoyang'anizana ndi inflation?
Mfundo inanso yofunika ndi yakuti Core CPI imatsika kufika pa 5.9% kuchokera pa 6% ya mwezi watha, womwe ndi mwezi wachitatu wowongoka wa Core CPI.
Kodi pali kusiyana kotani pakati pa CPI ndi Core CPI?
CPI (Consumer Price Index) ndi chiŵerengero cha kusintha kwamitengo komwe kumapangidwa pogwiritsa ntchito mitengo ya zinthu ndi ntchito zokhudzana ndi moyo watsiku ndi tsiku wa anthu, kuphatikizapo mphamvu, chakudya, katundu ndi ntchito monga zitsanzo zoimira zinthu.Kusintha kwa pachaka kwa CPI kumagwiritsidwa ntchito ngati muyeso wa inflation.Core Consumer Price Index imayesa kusintha kwamitengo ya katundu ndi ntchito, kuphatikiza chakudya ndi mphamvu.
Tiyeni tifotokoze lingaliro apa-Kufuna kusinthasintha.
Anthu sakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi mitengo yazakudya ndi mphamvu,
zomwe zimangotanthauza kuti samachepetsa kwambiri ngakhale mitengoyo ikakwera kwambiri.
Core CPI, kumbali ina, imatanthawuza kusinthasintha kwakukulu kwa katundu ndi ntchito.Mitengo ikakwera, anthu adzachepetsa ndalama zomwe amawononga pogula zinthu ndi ntchito zina.Choncho, Core CPI ikuwonetseratu mtengo wamtengo wapatali.
Komabe, kusiyana kotereku pakati pa CPI ndi Core CPI
nthawi zambiri sizikhala nthawi yayitali, pamapeto pake zimalumikizana.
Kutsika kosalekeza kwa Core CPI kumatsimikiziranso kuti kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja cha Federal Reserve kunali kothandiza pakutsika kwa mitengo.
Khalani nazo tafika pachimake inflation?
M'miyezi itatu yapitayi, CPI idayendetsedwa makamaka ndi chakudya ndi mphamvu.Chiyambireni chakachi, mitengo yazakudya ndi mafuta idakwera chifukwa chakusakhazikika kwazinthu, komabe kukwera kwamitengo komwe kumachitika chifukwa cha kupezeka sikungathe kuthetsedwa pakukweza chiwongola dzanja chokha.
Akuti Russia ndi Ukraine akuyembekeza kukwaniritsa mgwirizano wotumiza tirigu sabata yamawa, zomwe zitha kuchepetsa vuto lazakudya padziko lonse lapansi.Mlozera wa Mitengo ya Chakudya womwe wafotokozedwa ndi Food and Agriculture Organisation ya United Nations nawonso watsika mu June ndipo uwonetsedwa pamitengo yazakudya ya CPI.
Kutsika kwaposachedwa kwamitengo yamafuta osakanizidwa kwachepetsanso kukakamiza kwamafuta oyeretsedwa, ndipo mitengo yamafuta yakhala ikutsika mwezi watha, ndipo ikuyembekezeka kutsika kwambiri.
Komanso, ziyembekezo za ogula a US pakukula kwa ndalama zapakhomo pa miyezi yotsatira ya 12 inagwa mu June, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa Federal Reserve yomwe inatulutsidwa pa July 11th, yomwe imanenanso kuti kuchepa kwa chiwerengero kukubwera.
Pomaliza, kufunikira kwachepa komanso kupezeka kwachepa, Federal Reserve ikhoza kuwona "kutsika kwa inflation" mu theka lachiwiri la chaka.
Kukwera kwamitengo ndi ziyembekezo zochepetsedwa zimakwera palimodzi
Inflation ya June yapita kutali kwambiri ndi zomwe msika ukuyembekezera, zomwe zingapangitse chisankho chochuluka cha hawkish ndi Federal Reserve ndi chiwongoladzanja cha 75-chiwongoladzanja mu July.
Tsopano zoyembekeza zamsika zomwe zingatheke kuti Fed Funds ziwonjezeke pamlingo wonse zidakwera mpaka 68%, zomwe zinali pafupi ndi 0% tsiku lapitalo.
Komabe, ndi ziyembekezo za usiku umodzi za kukwera kwa mitengo ya Fed chaka chino kukwera mofulumira, ziyembekezo za kuchepetsedwa kwa mitengo yotsatira zawonjezekanso.
Misika tsopano ikuyembekeza kudulidwa kwa mfundo 100 pakadutsa chaka chimodzi kuyambira mwezi wa February, ndikudula kotala kotala koyamba komwe kuli kale mitengo.
Mwa kuyankhula kwina, Fed mwina idzakweza chiwongoladzanja kuposa momwe amayembekezera mu theka lachiwiri la chaka chino, koma kuchepetsa mitengo kudzabweranso kumayambiriro kwa chaka chamawa.
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Nthawi yotumiza: Jul-23-2022