Is Kukwera kwa mitengo As Fierce As A Tine?
It May Not Be As SCary As You Tyenda
06/15/2022
Kukwera kwa mitengo t ponyanso madzi ozizira!CPI Yaposa Zoyembekeza
Pafupifupi masabata awiri apitawo, pambuyo pa kutulutsidwa kwa mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index) mu April, msika unali bwino.Zimakhulupirira kuti pali zizindikiro zoyambirira za kukwera kwa inflation ndipo anthu anayamba kuyembekezera ngati deta yotsatira ya CPI ingakhale yodabwitsa, nayenso.
Komabe, Lachisanu lisanafike, JP Morgan adanena kuti deta ya CPI yomwe ikubwera idzapitirira zomwe zikuyembekezeka pamsika.Lipotili lidasokoneza malingaliro amsika okhudza kuzizira kwa inflation.
Masheya aku US adagwa kwambiri pazankhani, ndipo zokolola zazaka 10 za Treasury zidapitilira kukwera, ndikuphwanya chizindikiro cha 3%.
Chodabwitsa kwambiri, Dipatimenti ya Labor inanena Lachisanu kuti chiwerengero cha ogula chinakwera ndi 8.6 peresenti mu May kuyambira chaka chapitacho, chomwe chinaposa 8.3 peresenti yomwe msika unkayembekezera.
Deta yapamwamba kuposa yomwe inkayembekezeredwa inasokoneza maloto kuti kukwera kwa mitengo kutha kubwereranso pakati pa chaka.
Msika wamalonda unagwera mu "Black Friday", ndipo zokolola za zaka 10 za chuma zinalumphira ku 3.1%.
Msonkhano wa mwezi uno pamtengo udzachitika pa June 14, akuluakulu a Fed adanena m'mawu omaliza omaliza asanalowe nthawi yachete kuti ngati chiwongoladzanja chidzapitirira kukwera ndi mfundo za 50 mu September zidzadalira ntchito ya deta ya inflation.
Deta ya Chicagoland inasonyeza mwayi wa 41.6% wokhazikika wa 50 maziko okwera mtengo mu September atangotulutsa deta ya inflation.Komabe, palinso kuthekera kwa 48.5 peresenti yakuwonjezeka kwa 75 pamisonkhano itatu yotsatira.
Msikawu watsala pang'ono kuganiza kuti ngakhale pali njira zambiri zomwe a Fed adachita, zovuta za inflation zikukhazikika ndipo zikupitilirabe kukwera: kuchuluka kwamisala kukubwera.
Koma kodi izi zidzakhaladi choncho?Kodi nchifukwa ninji kukwera kwa inflation kuli kouma mtima chonchi pamene kuli kolimba chonchi?
Chiyembekezo chikubwera pang'onopang'ono
Chiwerengero chachikulu cha kukwera kwa mitengo chikunyalanyazidwa ndi anthu ambiri: Ngakhale kuti ndondomeko zochepetsera ndalama zakwera kwambiri, CPI yaikulu yatsika kwa miyezi iwiri yotsatizana.
CPI yayikulu ndi index yamitengo ya ogula yomwe siyiphatikiza mitengo yazakudya ndi mphamvu.Ndichiwonetsero chowona cha momwe chuma chikuyendera popeza sichikuphatikiza mitengo yazinthu zomwe zakwera kwakanthawi pazifukwa zogulitsira.
Kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa CPI kumatsogoleredwa makamaka ndi kukwera kwa mphamvu ndi mitengo ya chakudya, chomwe chiri chifukwa chachikulu chomwe CPI yaikulu yasiya kwambiri kuchoka ku inflation.
Kusintha kungakhale kubwera
Kuyambira kuchiyambi kwa chaka chino, mkangano wa Russia ndi Chiyukireniya wachititsa kuti pakhale kukwera mtengo kwa mphamvu ndi zakudya;kuperekedwa kwa zinthu zopangira ndi katundu wapakatikati wofunikira popanga mafakitale ku US pansi pa mliri womwe umachitika mobwerezabwereza ku China sikukwanira, ndipo kusinthasintha kwazinthu zapakatikati kwadzetsa mitengo yazinthu.
Komabe, nkhondo sidzakhalanso liwu lalikulu, ndipo kuchepa kwa zinthu zomwe zimayambitsidwa ndi mliriwu zikuyambiranso pang'onopang'ono, ndipo nthawi yayitali yamitengo idzabwereranso ku njira yoyenera.
Kuphatikiza apo, olamulira a Biden ayamba posachedwapa kuyimilira pakuchepetsa mitengo yamitengo ku China.Mitengo ndi kukwera kwa mitengo ndizovuta zomwe zidzatsimikizire momwe ovota adzavotere pachisankho chapakati, ndipo olamulira a Biden, omwe akuyesera kuwongolera kukwera kwa mitengo, achotsa zina, ngakhale mitengo yonse yomwe idaperekedwa ku China.
Kukwera kwamtengo wapatali kwamakono sikuyendetsedwa kokha ndi kulimbitsa ndondomeko ya ndalama, komanso kuchepetsa mitengo yamtengo wapatali, yomwe ingachepetse kwambiri mtengo wa moyo ndipo motero imachepetsa kutsika kwa mitengo.Kafukufuku wina akuwonetsa kuti kuchotsedwa kwa mitengo yowonjezera kudzachepetsa kukula kwa CPI mpaka pafupifupi 3.4 peresenti.
Izi zikutanthauza kuti Ndalamayi idzapeza malo ambiri a ndondomeko, ndipo Fed idzayikanso mabuleki omangirira pamene kutsika kwa inflation kumveka bwino.
Ponseponse, ngakhale kukwera kwa mitengo ndi kukwera kwa ziyembekezo sikukhala ndi chiyembekezo, palibe chifukwa chokhalira opanda chiyembekezo.
Ndikofunikira kudziwa kuti pambuyo poti kusowa chiyembekezo kwa msika kumasulidwa, nthawi yoyipa kwambiri ingakhale yadutsa.
Zinthu nthawi zonse zimaipiraipira zisanakhale bwino.
Ndemanga: Nkhaniyi idasinthidwa ndi AAA LENDINGS;zina mwazithunzi zidatengedwa pa intaneti, pomwe malowa sakuyimiridwa ndipo sangasindikizidwenso popanda chilolezo.Pali zoopsa pamsika ndipo ndalama ziyenera kukhala zosamala.Nkhaniyi sikupanga upangiri wandalama zaumwini, komanso sikuganizira zolinga zazachuma, zachuma kapena zosowa za ogwiritsa ntchito.Ogwiritsa ntchito akuyenera kuganizira ngati malingaliro, malingaliro kapena malingaliro omwe ali pano ali ogwirizana ndi momwe alili.Invest molingana ndi chiopsezo chanu.
Nthawi yotumiza: Jun-17-2022