Yakwana nthawi yoti Reyesanitiye Kuyembekezera Kugwa kwachuma
07/13/2022
Kusintha kwakukulu m'kanthawi kochepa
Pamene Federal Reserve ikukhwimitsa ndondomeko yazachuma kuti ithane ndi kukwera kwamitengo koipitsitsa m'zaka 40, chuma cha US chatsala pang'ono kugwa.
Otsatsa ndalama akhala akuwopa kwambiri kuchepa kwachuma kuposa kukwera kwa mitengo sabata yatha.
Mabanki ambiri akuluakulu a Wall Street apereka machenjezo a kuchepa kwachuma, ndipo a Wells Fargo adanenanso kuti United States yagwa pansi.
Pamene msika wamasheya udayamba kuchepa, msika wama bond udakwera palimodzi, ndipo index ya dollar idakwera kwambiri zaka 20, kugulitsa pazoyembekeza zakugwa kwachuma kunali kokulirapo.
Ndikuyamba kugwa kwachuma, mabizinesi ndi chuma akukumana ndi zovuta;akatswiri azachuma amakhulupirira kuti msika wogwira ntchito ukutaya mphamvu, pomwe ndalama zomwe sizili pafamu pa Lachisanu zitha kukhala zoyambitsa kusokonezeka kwa msika.
Komabe, zokolola za ku US zidalumphira kupitilira 3% pambuyo pa Lachisanu, ndipo mwayi wokwera 75 mu Julayi unakwera mpaka 92.4%.
Zonse chifukwa chakuti deta iyi siili yofooka monga momwe anthu ambiri amayembekezera,
koma zimakhala bwino kwambiri.
Momwe mungachitire kumvetsa lipoti ili ?
Dipatimenti Yogwira Ntchito idanenanso Lachisanu kuti ntchito zatsopano 372,000 zidapangidwa mu June pomwe kusowa kwa ntchito kunali 3.6 peresenti, pakati pa mitengo yotsika kwambiri.
Nanga ndichifukwa chiyani lipoti ili lasintha momwe msika ulili munthawi yochepa?Kodi zidakopa bwanji chidwi chamagulu onse?
Tikudziwa kuti ntchito yapawiri ya Fed ndikusunga kukhazikika kwamitengo ndikuwonetsetsa kuti anthu akugwira ntchito kwambiri, kotero kuti ndondomeko za Fed zakhala zikuyesera kuti zigwirizane ndi "inflation" ndi "kusowa kwa ntchito".
Komabe, ndi kukwera kwa inflation tsopano kukwera kwambiri, chofunika kwambiri cha ndondomeko ya Fed ndikuchepetsa kuchepa kwa ntchito ndi kukula pamlingo wina.
Ngakhale kuti "chiwopsezo cha kusowa kwa ntchito" ndizovuta kwambiri ku Fed, ndi chizindikiro chachuma.Zimatenga nthawi kuti msika wa ntchito ugwirizane ndi kuchuluka kwa kusowa kwa ntchito.Chifukwa chake, malipiro omwe siafamu amawonedwa ngati ziwonetsero zotsogola za kusowa kwa ntchito ndikuwonetsa momwe chuma chikuyendera pamlingo wina wake.
Monga tafotokozera m'nkhani zam'mbuyomu, msika uli pamalo pomwe nkhani zabwino za ecodata nomic zikufanana ndi zoyipa.Zomwe sizili zaulimi ndizoposa zomwe timayembekezera zomwe zikuwonetsa kuti chuma sichikubwerera m'mbuyo chifukwa chakukula kwachuma;komabe, zotsatira zachindunji ndikuti The Fed idzakhala yosasamala kwambiri pakukweza chiwongola dzanja.
Ndikoyenera kudziwa kuti pali chiwerengero chachikulu pakati pa malipiro osakhala a famu ndi chiwerengero cha kusowa kwa ntchito: pamene malipiro osakhala a famu amakhalabe pamwamba pa 200,000, msika wa ntchito umatengedwa kuti ndi wamphamvu kwambiri.
Malipiro omwe siafamu akhala pamwamba pa 200,000 kuyambira 2021, kupatsa a Fed kulimba mtima kuti apitirize kukweza mitengo mwankhanza.
Kotero tikayang'ana deta iyi m'miyezi ingapo yotsatira, chirichonse chomwe chili pamwamba pa 200,000 chimasiya mosakayikira kuti Fed idzasintha malingaliro ake: Fed ikuganiza kuti tsopano ikhoza kunyalanyaza msika wa Labor ndikuyika chidwi chake chonse pa inflation.
Chiyembekezo of ndi r kubweza kungakhale "koyambirira kwambiri"
Pambuyo pazidziwitso zomwe zatulutsidwa pa malipiro osakhala a famu, ndalama za US ndi golidi zinakwera pang'ono, koma dola inagwa pang'ono.
Komabe, panthawi yovutayi, panali kusinthasintha kwakung'ono kwa msika komwe sikunali kogwirizana ndi zofunikira zotere.
Chomwe chiri kumbuyo kwa izi kwenikweni ndi masewera pakati pa "mantha a kuchepa kwachuma" ndi "zambiri za hawkish Fed", ndipo msika suli wodekha monga momwe ukuwonekera, koma wodzaza ndi mpikisano.
Kukwera kwamitengo ya 75 mwezi uno (Julayi 28) kuponyedwa pamwala, ndipo msika wamphamvu wantchito wathandizira Fed kuti iwonjezere njira zochepetsera.
Ngakhale kuti malonda amsika amsika akuyembekeza kugwa kwachuma akhoza kukhala "nthawi yake isanakwane", zikuwonekeratu kuti zolipira zomwe sizili pafamu zachepetsa kwakanthawi mantha a anthu akugwa kwachuma.Ngakhale kuti chuma chawonetsa kuti chikuyenda pang'onopang'ono, zokambirana zonse zokhudzana ndi kugwa kwachuma tsopano sizichedwa ndipo sizikuchepetsa mantha a kukwera kwakukulu kwa Fed.
Mabetcha amsika pakukwera kwamitengo ya Fed akuyamba kukwera, zolosera zamtsogolo zikukwera pamwamba pa 3.6 peresenti mgawo loyamba la chaka chamawa.
Kusokonekera kwachuma m'mbuyomu kungakhale chenjezo labodza, koma Fed ikufunikabe kusamala za kuchepa kwachuma komanso kukhazikika kwachuma.
Mwina misika idzasiya kuchita mantha pokhapokha FED ikayamba kuchita mantha.
Ndemanga: Nkhaniyi idasinthidwa ndi AAA LENDINGS;zina mwazithunzi zidatengedwa pa intaneti, pomwe malowa sakuyimiridwa ndipo sangasindikizidwenso popanda chilolezo.Pali zoopsa pamsika ndipo ndalama ziyenera kukhala zosamala.Nkhaniyi sikupanga upangiri wandalama zaumwini, komanso sikuganizira zolinga zazachuma, zachuma kapena zosowa za ogwiritsa ntchito.Ogwiritsa ntchito akuyenera kuganizira ngati malingaliro, malingaliro kapena malingaliro omwe ali pano ali ogwirizana ndi momwe alili.Invest molingana ndi chiopsezo chanu.
Nthawi yotumiza: Jul-16-2022