Musayese Kulimbana ndi Federal Reserve
08/13/2022
Deta yaposachedwa kuchokera ku Dipatimenti Yogwira Ntchito inasonyeza kuti ntchito zopanda ulimi zawonjezeka ndi 528,000 mu July, zomwe ziri bwino kwambiri kusiyana ndi zomwe msika ukuyembekezera 250,000.Ndipo chiwopsezo cha kusowa kwa ntchito chidatsika mpaka 3.5%, kubwereranso ku mliri usanachitike mu February 2020.
(Zochokera ku CNBC)
Zikuoneka kuti mbiri yabwino yoyimilira inalidi vuto pamsika, womwe unataya nkhondo yake ndi Federal Reserve.
Kodi Msika unatani kuti apewe?
Kuyambira chaka chatha, Fed yakhala ikuchita molakwika kawiri motsatizana, poyamba pochepetsa kulimbikira kwa inflation ndiyeno powonjezera mphamvu yake yochepetsera chiwongola dzanja chokwera.
Kumapeto kwa chaka chatha, Powell anali akugogomezerabe kuti kukwera kwa inflation kunali kwakanthawi.
Misika ikuchulukirachulukira poganizira kuti a Fed akhoza kupanga cholakwika chachitatu - kudalira kwambiri ntchito ngati chiwongolero chachuma ndikuchepetsa nthawi yakugwa kwachuma.
Asanakwane Lachinayi lapitali (Ogasiti 4, 2022), akuluakulu asanu ndi limodzi a Fed adakamba zokamba za "Hawkish" nthawi zosiyanasiyana, kutumiza uthenga womveka bwino kumisika "yosadetsa mphamvu yankhondo ya Fed ndi kukwera kwa mitengo".
Nkhani zotsatizanazi zimapangidwira kuchenjeza misika kuti asiye kukhala onyoza ndi Fed.
Chosangalatsa ndichakuti misika yakhala yosasunthika ndi zolankhulazo ndipo ikuyamba kubetcha kuti Fed "Idzapereka" posachedwa poyang'anizana ndi ziwopsezo zakugwa kwachuma ndikuyatsa njira yolimba, ndikulosera kuti padzakhala kukwera pang'onopang'ono. mwamsanga msonkhano wa September.
Zinthu zikuoneka kutembenukira kwa "The Fed sakufuna motsutsana ndi misika" kuchokera "musati kulimbana ndi Ndalama" pang'onopang'ono.
Motsogozedwa ndi chiyembekezo ichi, masheya adayamba kukwera ndipo zokolola za bondi zidayamba kutsika.Misika ikuchita mosagwirizana ndi uthenga wa Fed, ndipo mwanjira ina iwo akutsutsana ndi Fed - woweruza womaliza adzakhala deta zachuma.
Fed yapambana.
Mosasamala kanthu zazinthu zilizonse zomwe msika umayamba kubwerera ku zenizeni ndi data ya Julayi yomwe si yafamu yotulutsidwa.
(Zochokera pa intaneti)
Pamwamba pa izi, kuchuluka kwa ntchito zomwe zawonjezeredwa mu Meyi ndi June zidasinthidwanso 28,000 kuposa momwe zidanenedwera kale, kuwonetsa kuti kufunikira kwa ntchito kumakhalabe kolimba ndikuchepetsa kwambiri mantha akugwa kwachuma.
Ponseponse, msika wogwira ntchito zotentha watsegula njira kuti Fed isunge njira yake yokwera kwambiri.
Fed itatumiza chizindikiro cholimba kwambiri m'zaka makumi angapo, msika udachita bizinesi yake mwachizolowezi, ngakhale kuthandizira msika wogulitsa kuwonetsa ntchito zawo zabwino m'zaka zaposachedwa.
Kumisika mosayembekezereka, pomwe idayamba kubetcha pakusintha kwa mfundo za Fed, kukankhira masheya kukhala apamwamba komanso zokolola za Treasury kutsika, kufunikira kochulukirapo kunalimbikitsidwa, kuchepetsa chiopsezo cha kutsika kwachuma ndikuchotsa zoyesayesa za Fed zowongolera kutsika kwamitengo nthawi yomweyo.
Kutsatira lipoti lotulutsidwa, kuthekera kwa kukwera kwa 75 bp ku Fed ' Msonkhano wa Seputembala udakwera mpaka 68%, wapamwamba kwambiri kuposa mwayi wokwera 50 bp monga momwe zidanenedweratu.(Chida cha CME FedWatch)
Zomwe sizinali zaulimi zidasokoneza msika woyembekezera bwino - zoyembekeza zakukwera kwamitengo zidakwera kwambiri zomwe zidatsimikiziranso kuti Wall Street mantra samayesa konse motsutsana ndi Fed.
Ndani Anasokeretsa Misika?
Monga tanenera m'nkhani zam'mbuyomu, ndondomeko ya Fed yakhala ikufuna kuti pakhale mgwirizano pakati pa "inflation" ndi "inflation rate".
Ndizodziwikiratu kuti Fed yasankha "kuwongolera chiwopsezo cha inflation" kuposa "kupereka chuma".Chotsatira chake chidzakhala kupereka nsembe chuma, ngakhale pamlingo wosiyana.
Zomwe tikuyenera kudziwa ndikuti Fed iyenera kusuntha mwachangu panjira yomangirira isanafike inflation kubwerera komwe ili yoyenera.
Ndalamayi ikhoza kukhala pafupi kukweza chiwongoladzanja ndi 75 bp mu September.Tsopano tiyeni tiyembekezere kuchita zotsatirazi kwa CPI.
Ndemanga: Nkhaniyi idasinthidwa ndi AAA LENDINGS;zina mwazithunzi zidatengedwa pa intaneti, pomwe malowa sakuyimiridwa ndipo sangasindikizidwenso popanda chilolezo.Pali zoopsa pamsika ndipo ndalama ziyenera kukhala zosamala.Nkhaniyi sikupanga upangiri wandalama zaumwini, komanso sikuganizira zolinga zazachuma, zachuma kapena zosowa za ogwiritsa ntchito.Ogwiritsa ntchito akuyenera kuganizira ngati malingaliro, malingaliro kapena malingaliro omwe ali pano ali ogwirizana ndi momwe alili.Invest molingana ndi chiopsezo chanu.
Nthawi yotumiza: Aug-13-2022