Chomaliza chapachaka cha Federal Reserve - zizindikiro zisanu zofunika!
12/26/2022
Sabata yatha, maso a misika yapadziko lonse adatembenukiranso ku Federal Reserve - kumapeto kwa msonkhano wamasiku awiri, Fed idzalengeza zisankho zake zandalama mu Disembala, pamodzi ndi chidule chake chaposachedwa chapachaka chazachuma (SEP). ) ndi dongosolo la madontho.
Mosadabwitsa, Federal Reserve idachepetsa kukwera kwake Lachitatu monga momwe amayembekezera, kukweza ndalama za federal ndi 50 maziko mpaka 4.25% -4.5%.
Kuyambira mu Marichi chaka chino, Federal Reserve yakweza mitengo ndi chiwonkhetso cha 425 maziko, ndipo kukwera kwa mitengo ya Disembala kwatha chaka chakumangitsa ndipo mosakayikira kunali kusintha kofunikira kwambiri pakusintha kwamitengo yapano.
Ndipo ndi zizindikiro zotani zomwe Fed idapereka powonetsa chiwongola dzanja chakumapeto kwa chaka chino?
Kodi mitengo idzakwezedwa bwanji February wamawa?
Ndi kukwera kwamitengo kumatsika mpaka 50 maziko mwezi uno, kusamvana kwatsopano kwabuka: Kodi Fed "idzawombanso mabuleki"?
Pamsonkhano wa chiwongola dzanja kumayambiriro kwa February chaka chamawa, Federal Reserve idzakweza mitengo ndi ndalama zingati?Powell anayankha funso ili.
Choyamba, Powell adavomereza kuti zotsatira za kukwera koopsa koyambirira "zidakalipobe" ndipo adanenanso kuti njira yoyenera tsopano ndiyo kuchepetsa kukwera kwa mlingo;komabe, kukwera kwa mlingo wotsatira kudzasankhidwa malinga ndi deta yatsopano ndi zochitika zachuma ndi zachuma panthawiyo.
Monga mukuwonera, Fed idalowanso gawo lachiwiri la kukwera kwapang'onopang'ono, koma kukwera kwamitengo kudzatsimikiziridwa ndi kuyang'anira mosamala kuchuluka kwa mitengo.
Ngongole yazithunzi: CME FED Watch Tool
Chifukwa cha kuchepa kosayembekezereka kuchokera ku CPI mu November, zoyembekeza zamsika za 25 zotsatila zowonjezera zowonjezera tsopano zafika ku 75%.
Kodi chiwongola dzanja chochuluka bwanji pakukwera kwamitengo komweku?
Kuthamanga kwa kukwera kwamitengo panopa sikulinso nkhani yofunika kwambiri pazokambirana za Fed;Chofunika ndi kuchuluka kwa chiwongola dzanja chomaliza.
Yankho la funsoli tikulipeza pa kadontho kameneka.
Dot-plot imasindikizidwa pamsonkhano wa chiwongola dzanja kumapeto kwa kotala iliyonse.Poyerekeza ndi September, nthawi ino Fed yakweza ziyembekezo zake pa ndondomeko ya ndondomeko ya chaka chamawa.
Dera lokhala ndi malire ofiira mu tchati chomwe chili pansipa ndizomwe zimayembekeza opanga ndondomeko za Fed pa ndondomeko ya ndondomeko ya chaka chamawa.
Ngongole yazithunzi: Federal Reserve
Pa okwana 19 opanga ndondomeko, 10 amakhulupirira kuti mitengo iyenera kukwezedwa pakati pa 5% ndi 5.25% chaka chamawa.
Izi zikutanthawuzanso kuti ziwonjezeko za 75 maziko okweza ziwongola dzanja ndizofunikira pamisonkhano yotsatira mitengo isanayimitsidwe kapena kutsitsa.
Kodi Fed ikuganiza kuti inflation idzakwera bwanji?
Dipatimenti ya Labor inanena Lachiwiri lapitalo kuti CPI inakula 7.1% mu November kuyambira chaka chapitacho, kutsika kwatsopano kwa chaka, kupanga miyezi isanu yotsatizana ya CPI ya chaka ndi chaka.
Pankhani imeneyi, Powell adati: Pakhala "kutsika kolandirika" kwa inflation m'miyezi iwiri yapitayi, koma Fed ikuyenera kuwona umboni wochuluka wakuti inflation ikugwa;komabe, Fed ikuyembekezanso kuti inflation idzagwa kwambiri chaka chamawa.
Chithunzi chojambula: Carson
M'mbiri yakale, kukhwimitsa kwa Fed kumasiya pamene mitengo imakwezedwa pamwamba pa CPI - Fed tsopano ikuyandikira ku cholinga chimenecho.
Kodi isintha liti kuti ikhale yochepetsera?
Ponena za kusamuka kuti muchepetse mitengo mu 2023, a Fed sanafotokoze bwino dongosololi.
Powell adati, "Pokhapokha kukwera kwa mitengo kutsika mpaka 2% komwe tingaganizire za kuchepetsa mitengo."
Malingana ndi Powell, chinthu chofunika kwambiri pa mkuntho wamakono wa inflation ndi core services inflation.
Izi zimakhudzidwa makamaka ndi msika wamphamvu wantchito komanso kukula kwa malipiro, chomwe ndi chifukwa chachikulu chakukwera kwa inflation.
Msika wantchito ukangozizira ndipo kukula kwa malipiro kumayandikira pang'onopang'ono chandamale ya inflation, ndiye kuti inflation idzatsikanso mwachangu.
Kodi tiwona kuchepa kwachuma chaka chamawa?
M'chidule chaposachedwa pazachuma cha kotala, akuluakulu a Federal Reserve adakwezanso ziyembekezo zawo za chiwopsezo cha kusowa kwa ntchito mu 2023 - chiwopsezo chapakatikati cha kusowa kwa ntchito chikuyembekezeka kukwera mpaka 4.6 peresenti chaka chamawa kuchokera pa 3.7 peresenti yapano.
Gwero lachithunzi: Federal Reserve
M'mbiri, kusowa kwa ntchito kukakwera chonchi, chuma cha US chimagwa pansi.
Kuphatikiza apo, Federal Reserve yatsitsa zolosera zakukula kwachuma mu 2023.
Msika ukukhulupirira kuti ichi ndi chizindikiro champhamvu chachuma, kuti chuma chili pachiwopsezo chogwa pansi chaka chamawa, komanso kuti Federal Reserve ingakakamizidwe kuchepetsa chiwongola dzanja mu 2023.
Chidule
Ponseponse, Boma la Federal Reserve lachepetsa liwiro la kukwera kwamitengo kwa nthawi yoyamba, ndikutsegulira mwalamulo njira yowonjezereka kwapang'onopang'ono;ndipo kuchepa kwapang'onopang'ono kwa data kuchokera ku CPI kumalimbitsa chiyembekezo chakuti kukwera kwa inflation kwafika pachimake.
Pamene inflation ikupitirirabe kufooka, Fed idzasiya kukweza mitengo m'gawo loyamba la chaka chamawa;ikhoza kulingalira za kuchepetsa mitengo mu gawo lachinayi chifukwa cha nkhawa zomwe zikukulirakulira.
Chithunzi chojambula: Freddie Mac
Ngongole yobwereketsa yakhazikika pamiyezi itatu yapitayi, ndipo ndizovuta kuwona chiwonjezeko chachikulu kachiwiri, ndipo mwina pang'onopang'ono mudzagwedezeka.
Ndemanga: Nkhaniyi idasinthidwa ndi AAA LENDINGS;zina mwazithunzi zidatengedwa pa intaneti, pomwe malowa sakuyimiridwa ndipo sangasindikizidwenso popanda chilolezo.Pali zoopsa pamsika ndipo ndalama ziyenera kukhala zosamala.Nkhaniyi sikupanga upangiri wandalama zaumwini, komanso sikuganizira zolinga zazachuma, zachuma kapena zosowa za ogwiritsa ntchito.Ogwiritsa ntchito akuyenera kuganizira ngati malingaliro, malingaliro kapena malingaliro omwe ali pano ali ogwirizana ndi momwe alili.Invest molingana ndi chiopsezo chanu.
Nthawi yotumiza: Dec-26-2022